Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.445223 0.522283 0.606673 0.705680 0.818369 0.942348 1.088770
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.322930 0.424566 0.546799 0.703423 0.897452 1.128508 1.422904
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.235927 0.343304 0.483481 0.677148 0.934606 1.261588 1.704168
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.193614 0.307253 0.466223 0.699923 1.028817 1.468395 2.092067
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.161314 0.276989 0.449167 0.716519 1.111801 1.663594 2.478103
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.143218 0.263514 0.452462 0.759868 1.233605 1.919197 2.964595
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.119221 0.235404 0.428079 0.756452 1.283514 2.073429 3.316036
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.098862 0.209143 0.401891 0.745241 1.317826 2.204316 3.639436
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.083105 0.187864 0.380331 0.737704 1.355162 2.340033 3.976531
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.073287 0.175929 0.373142 0.753026 1.430053 2.538206 4.421337
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.064315 0.163849 0.363668 0.762508 1.494769 2.723121 4.855184
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.055897 0.151185 0.351030 0.764150 1.544945 2.886200 5.262089
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.049332 0.141597 0.343594 0.775629 1.615280 3.090722 5.755251
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.042775 0.130616 0.331646 0.776808 1.666710 3.266411 6.211440
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.035137 0.115061 0.307248 0.749450 1.661069 3.340658 6.497417
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.032108 0.110998 0.308041 0.774788 1.759535 3.607507 7.134479
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.029004 0.105982 0.305787 0.793083 1.845142 3.855636 7.751219
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.027771 0.106187 0.316174 0.840463 1.993406 4.228722 8.611994
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.024160 0.098175 0.304766 0.836760 2.035122 4.402495 9.117054
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.020693 0.089633 0.290524 0.824534 2.057288 4.539306 9.559784
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.017876 0.082446 0.278636 0.816311 2.086860 4.691411 10.037652
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.016269 0.079132 0.276954 0.833034 2.172656 4.959640 10.749379
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.014635 0.075236 0.272963 0.843382 2.244711 5.203868 11.425921